BY STAN SUDOL
After last week’s spectacular news announcements – almost one per
day – I thought Inco’s public relations department would have taken
a much needed breather. Management had other plans, like
negotiating the largest corporate takeover in Canadian history and
creating the world’s fourth largest mining company.
Monday’s announcement of American copper miner Phelps Dodge’s
friendly takeover of Inco and Falconbridge may finally be the end
of one of Canada’s longest running corporate soap operas.
It is definitely the end of an era of Canadian control over some
of the world’s richest nickel deposits.
The three-way merger will see the creation of a $56 billion
North American mining giant with head offices in Phoenix, Arizona.
The new company’s nickel division will be in Toronto, while Phoenix
is the home base for the copper division.
I can’t help feel a little sad that a total Canadian solution
could not have happened as Inco and Falconbridge/Noranda have long
corporate histories with this country.
Obviously, being Sudbury born and having worked at Inco for a
year in 1976 and again as an underground summer student in 1980, I
have a personal link.
Considering Canada’s mining expertise – one of the few sectors
in which we excel over the Americans – it’s a little ironic the
only world-class U.S. mining company, aside from Newmont Mining,
ends up swallowing two of our mining heavyweights.
However, in today’s global, rapidly-changing mining sector,
Canadian companies are able to operate around the globe and we
could not put up barriers in our own country.
To be quite honest a North American solution is not a bad second
choice.
We should not forget it was American entrepreneurs and capital
that originally developed the immensely rich deposits of the
Sudbury Basin, discovered in the 1880s.
The American military/industrial complex has always depended on
the Basin’s secure, stable and abundant supply of nickel.
During the nickel shortages of the 1950s, the U.S. government
gave Falconbridge a $40 million subsidy to help develop their
nickel mines and ensure diversity of supply.
Please don’t confuse my sadness with “anti-Americanism.”
Canada’s prosperity and high standard of living are directly
linked to the largest and richest market in the history of mankind.
Notwithstanding the rapid growth of China and India, the U.S. will
continue to be a military and industrial powerhouse well into this
century and the next.
Until the late 1970s most of the main corporate decisions at
Inco were made out of their New York head office.
There are many pluses to being among the world’s largest mining
companies – one of the most significant is having easier access to
capital for expansion.
In the news release, J. Steven Whisler, chair and CEO of Phelps
Dodge Corporation, said: “This transaction represents a
unique opportunity in a rapidly consolidating industry to create a
global leader based in North America—home of the world’s deepest
and most liquid capital markets.
“The combined company has one of the industry’s most exciting
portfolios of development projects, and the scale and management
expertise to pursue their development successfully.”
One of the key points is this deal combines some high-quality,
long-life assets in regions of no geopolitical risk, such as the
Sudbury Basin, and the rich copper producing areas of southeastern
Arizona and southwestern New Mexico.
Both regions are among the top 10 most important mineral
districts in the world.
Nationalist sentiment or new mining taxes in Equator, Peru,
Bolivia, Mongolia and Venezuela have unnerved mining executives
around the globe.
Stable North American mining districts with great growth
potential will attract significant new investment.
The combined financial clout of Phelps Dodge Inco, the largest
North American mining company, will accelerate this process and
assure a promising future for Sudbury in this mineral-starved
world.
Phelps Dodge began in 1834 as a New York City-based mercantile
company taking its name from founding partners Anson Phelps and
William Dodge. They entered the mining business in 1881 by
investing in a copper operation in Morenci, Arizona. The company
was an integral part of the American “wild west” and developed
copper deposits in New Mexico, Arizona and Mexico.
Phelps Dodge has major copper deposits in Chile and Peru and is
the largest publicly traded copper producer in the world. Head
office is in Phoenix, Arizona, and the company employs 13,500
people worldwide.
The company is a major producer of refined copper products
including wire and cable and molybdenum, primarily used for
hardening steel and making other specialty industrial alloys.
The new Phelps Dodge Inco will be the globe’s largest producer
of nickel, the largest publicly traded producer of copper, the
second largest producer of molybdenum and third largest producer of
cobalt.
Scott M. Hand, chairman and chief executive officer of Inco,
said “this combination allows Inco’s shareholders, in
addition to receiving a substantial premium for their stock, to
share in the significant synergies.”
The combination of Phelps Dodge, Inco and Falconbridge is
expected to result in total annual synergies of approximately $900
million (US) by 2008.
This includes $550 million (US) in total expected annual
synergies from the combination of Inco and Falconbridge.
Phelps Dodge enhances these synergies with its technological
expertise that can be applied to improve process recoveries and
throughput in Sudbury and elsewhere.
The company’s larger size will also enhance savings in
purchasing and supply-chain management. This takeover deal is not
conditional upon the completion of the Inco and Falconbridge
merger.
The Phelps Dodge offer for the combined Inco/Falconbridge is
valued at C$80.13 per share, 19 percent more than Teck-Cominco’s
offer for Inco. The agreement also enables Inco to enhance its
offer for Falconbridge to C$62.11 per share, an 18 percent premium
to Xstrata’s unsolicited offer for Falconbridge.
At these numbers, any other potential bidder must have very deep
pockets and think long and hard about topping these premium prices.
Mining is still a cyclical business!
There can be no doubt the fat lady may have sung her final verse
and the Canadian mining industry has fundamentally changed
forever.
Stan Sudol is a Toronto-based communications
consultant who writes extensively on mining issues.stan.sudol@sympatico.ca